https://www.nytimes....l?smid=tw-share
NY-Times: The Great Climate Migration By Abrahm Lustgarten | Photographs by Meridith Kohut
Hier mal ein paar Ausschnitte:
"[...]According to a pathbreaking recent study in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the planet could see a greater temperature increase in the next 50 years than it did in the last 6,000 years combined. By 2070, the kind of extremely hot zones, like in the Sahara, that now cover less than 1 percent of the earth’s land surface could cover nearly a fifth of the land, potentially placing one of every three people alive outside the climate niche where humans have thrived for thousands of years. [...]
A 2017 study in Science Advances found that by 2100, temperatures could rise to the point that just going outside for a few hours in some places, including parts of India and Eastern China, “will result in death even for the fittest of humans.” -> (dazu das oben verlinkte Video von Harald Lesch zum Thema Kühlgrenztemperatur) [...]
We focused on changes in Central America and used climate and economic-development data to examine a range of scenarios. Our model projects that migration will rise every year regardless of climate, but that the amount of migration increases substantially as the climate changes. In the most extreme climate scenarios, more than 30 million migrants would head toward the U.S. border over the course of the next 30 years. [...]
In recent months, the coronavirus pandemic has offered a test run on whether humanity has the capacity to avert a predictable — and predicted — catastrophe. Some countries have fared better. But the United States has failed. The climate crisis will test the developed world again, on a larger scale, with higher stakes. The only way to mitigate the most destabilizing aspects of mass migration is to prepare for it, and preparation demands a sharper imagining of where people are likely to go, and when. [...] As they have looked more closely, migration researchers have found climate’s subtle fingerprints almost everywhere. Drought helped push many Syrians into cities before the war, worsening tensions and leading to rising discontent; crop losses led to unemployment that stoked Arab Spring uprisings in Egypt and Libya; Brexit, even, was arguably a ripple effect of the influx of migrants brought to Europe by the wars that followed. And all those effects were bound up with the movement of just two million people. As the mechanisms of climate migration have come into sharper focus — food scarcity, water scarcity and heat — the latent potential for large-scale movement comes to seem astronomically larger. [...]"
Extrem interessanter Artikel, für die, die des Englischen mächtig sind, über die zu erwartenden Klimaveränderungen, aber vor allem die erwarteten Flüchtlingsbewegungen. Mit lehrreichen Grafiken geschmückt, die man aber nur sehen kann, wenn man über den Link liest.
Ach, übrigens wurde heute auf Spitzbergen die Rekordtemperatur von 22°C gemessen...
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da oben
Bearbeitet von BluBoi, 25. Juli 2020 - 20:44.